It is hard to argue with USD/JPY extending this correction to the 140 area, ING’s FX strategist Chris Turner notes.
“We think the unwind of the carry trade can extend beyond speculative positions among fast-moving accounts such as Commodity Trading Advisors and into banks and non-bank financial institutions funding operations cheaply in the Yen.”
“We thing that the one-year FX options market will show whether this community is now hedging too. This does seem to be the case with the one-year USD/JPY risk reversal going very bid for JPY calls.”
“It is hard to argue with USD/JPY extending this correction to the 140 area – which we had seen as the outside risk last week.”
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